ABP Network-C Voter Survey Presents the Opinion Poll for the Political Battle of 2021

• 41.4% vote share for UPA and 28.6% vote share for NDA in Tamil Nadu
• The survey predicts big gains for LDF in Kerala with 40.1% vote share

Noida, 27^th February 2021: As the Election Commission of India (ECI) announced the poll schedule for West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry Assembly elections 2021, ABP Network released the findings of its final opinion poll survey across the three regions. Along with research partner C-Voter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), the network conducted opinion poll surveys to provide a clearer picture of how the ballot game stands in these regions. 

ABP Network had recently conducted the first round of opinion poll for the five states in January, wherein UPA was leading in Tamil Nadu, LDF in Kerala, TMC in West Bengal and NDA in Assam and Puducherry. What’s more is that, these opinion polls mark the beginning of ABP Network’s reign in the southern region as the network is soon likely to enter the Tamil Nadu market.

The ABP Network-C Voter survey has revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 42.8% vote share (148 to 164 seats), followed by BJP with 38.0% vote share (92 to 108 seats).

West Bengal – Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : West Bengal	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
TMC	44.9	42.8	-2.1
BJP	10.2	38.0	27.8
INC+LEFT	37.9	12.9	-25.0
Others	7.0	6.3	-0.7
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
West Bengal – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : West Bengal	From		To
TMC	148	to	164
BJP	92	to	108
INC+LEFT	31	to	39
Others	1	to	5
Total	294

When asked, ‘Who do you think is the most suitable candidate to be the Chief Minister of West Bengal?’, 54.5% supported Mamata Banerjee from TMC and 24.6% backed Dilip Ghosh from BJP.

UPA is leading in Tamil Nadu with 41.4% vote share (154 to 162 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 28.6% vote share (58 to 66 seats).

Tamil Nadu – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Tamil Nadu	From		To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	154	To	162
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	58	To	66
MNM	2	To	6
AMMK	1	To	5
Others	5	To	9
Total	234

Tamil Nadu – Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Tamil Nadu	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	39.4	41.4	2.0
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	43.7	28.6	-15.1
MNM	0.0	8.3	8.3
AMMK	0.0	6.9	6.9
Others	16.9	14.8	-2.1
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

When asked, ‘Who do you think is the most suitable candidate to be the Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu?’, 32.1% supported E K Palaniswami from AIADMK and 39.4% backed M K Stalin from DMK.

In Puducherry, NDA is leading with 45.8% vote share, followed by UPA with 36.2% vote share.

Puducherry – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry	From		To
SDA (Congress+DMK)	8	To	12
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	17	To	21
MNM	0	To	1
Others	1	To	2
Total	30

Puducherry – Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Puducherry	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
Congress+	39.5	36.2	-3.3
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	30.5	45.8	15.3
MNM	0.0	3.5	3.5
Others	30.0	14.5	-15.5
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

When asked, ‘Who do you think is the most suitable candidate to be the Chief Minister of Puducherry?’, 38.2% supported V. Narayanasamy from INC and 45.8% backed N. Rangaswamy from AINRC.

In Kerala, LDF is leading with 40.1% vote share, followed byUDF with 32.6% vote share.

Kerala – Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Kerala	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
LDF	43.5	40.1	-3.4
UDF	38.8	32.6	-6.2
BJP	14.9	12.7	-2.2
Others	2.8	14.6	11.8
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

Kerala – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Kerala	From		To
LDF	83	to	91
UDF	47	to	55
BJP	0	to	2
Others	0	To	2
Total	140

When asked, ‘Who do you think is the most suitable candidate to be the Chief Minister of Kerala?’, 38.5% supported Pinarayi Vijayan from (CPI (M) and 27.0% backed Oomen Chandy from INC.

In Assam, NDA is leading with 43.8% vote share (68 to 76 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 41.4 vote share (43 to 51 Seats).

Assam – Party Alliance : Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Assam	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
NDA	41.9	43.8	1.9
UPA	31.0	41.4	10.4
BPF	3.9	1.1	-2.8
Others	23.2	13.7	-9.5
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
Assam – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam	From		To
NDA	68	to	76
UPA	43	to	51
BPF	3	to	6
Others	2	to	4
Total	126

When asked, ‘Who do you think is the most suitable candidate to be the Chief Minister of Assam?’, 43.3% supported ‘Sarbananda Sonowal’ from BJP and 26.4% backed Gaurav Gogoi from INC.

Methodology

As for the methodology and survey details, the CVoter survey reached out to a total of approximately 8796+ people in Kerala, 1647 + people in Puducherry, 16457+  people in Tamil Nadu, 4776 + people in Assam and 38932 + people in West Bengal making it a total of 70608 +  people. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey).

About ABP Network

An innovative media and content creation company, ABP Network is a credible voice in the broadcast & digital sphere, with a multi-language portfolio of news channels reaching 535 million individuals in India. ABP Studios, which comes under the purview of ABP Creations – the content innovation arm of the network – creates, produces, and licenses original, path-breaking content outside of news. ABP Network is a group entity of ABP, which was incorporated almost 100 years ago and continues to reign as a leading Indian Media Conglomerate.