- The poll predicts 43.7 % vote share for UPA and 30.6% vote share for NDA in Tamil Nadu
- The poll predicts big gains for LDF in Kerala with 42.9% vote share
Noida: As the election season is picking up its speed in West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, ABP Network released the findings of its opinion poll across the five regions. ABP Network along with research partner C-Voter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), conducted the opinion poll to know the mood of the nation.
As per public opinion, the ABP Network-CVoter poll predicts that for the upcoming elections in Tamil Nadu, UPA is expected to get 43.7 % vote share (161 to 169 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 30.6% vote share (53 to 61 seats).
| Tamil Nadu | Party Alliance: Votes (%) | |||
| Alliance Votes : Tamil Nadu | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing | |
| UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) | 39.4 | 43.7 | 4.3 | |
| NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) | 43.7 | 30.6 | -13.1 | |
| MNM | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | |
| AMMK | 0.0 | 6.4 | 6.4 | |
| Others | 16.9 | 12.3 | -4.6 | |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Tamil Nadu | Projected Range Of Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats : Tamil Nadu | From | To | |
| UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) | 161 | 169 | |
| NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) | 53 | 61 | |
| MNM | 2 | 6 | |
| AMMK | 1 | 5 | |
| Others | 3 | 7 | |
| Total | 234 |
In Puducherry, they poll predicts that UPA will receive 40.7% vote share, followed by NDA with 45.4 % vote share.
| Puducherry | Party Alliance : Votes | |||
| Alliance Votes : Puducherry | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing | |
| UPA (Congress+DMK) | 39.5 | 40.7 | 1.2 | |
| NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) | 30.5 | 45.4 | 14.9 | |
| Others | 30.0 | 13.9 | -16.1 | |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Puducherry | Projected Range Of Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats : Puducherry | From | To | |
| UPA (Congress+DMK) | 10 | 14 | |
| NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) | 16 | 20 | |
| Others | 0 | 1 | |
| Total | 30 |
In Kerala, LDF is expected to receive 42.9% vote share, followed byUDF with 37.9% vote share.
| Kerala | Party Alliance: Votes (%) | |||
| Alliance Votes: Kerala | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing | |
| LDF | 43.5 | 42.9 | -0.6 | |
| UDF | 38.8 | 37.9 | -0.9 | |
| BJP | 14.9 | 14.6 | -0.3 | |
| Others | 2.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Kerala | Projected Range Of Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats : Kerala | From | To | |
| LDF | 77 | 85 | |
| UDF | 54 | 62 | |
| BJP | 0 | 2 | |
| Others | 0 | 1 | |
| Total | 140 |
In Assam, NDA is expected to get 45.0% vote share (64 to 72 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 42.2% vote share (52 to 60 Seats).
| Assam | Party Alliance : Votes (%) | |||
| Alliance Votes : Assam | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing | |
| NDA | 41.9 | 45.0 | 3.1 | |
| UPA | 31.0 | 42.2 | 11.2 | |
| Others | 27.1 | 12.8 | -14.3 | |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Assam | Projected Range Of Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats : Assam | From | To | |
| NDA | 64 | 72 | |
| UPA | 52 | 60 | |
| Others | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 126 |
In West Bengal, TMC is expected to get 43.4% vote share (150 to 166 seats), followed by BJP with 38.4% vote share (98 to 114 seats).
| West Bengal | Party Alliance: Votes (%) | |||
| Alliance Votes : West Bengal | 2016 Results | 2021 Projection | Swing | |
| TMC | 44.9 | 43.4 | -1.5 | |
| BJP | 10.2 | 38.4 | 28.2 | |
| INC+LEFT+ISF | 37.9 | 12.7 | -25.2 | |
| Others | 7.0 | 5.5 | -1.5 | |
| Total | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| West Bengal | Projected Range Of Seats | ||
| Alliance Seats : West Bengal | From | To | |
| TMC | 150 | 166 | |
| BJP | 98 | 114 | |
| INC+LEFT | 23 | 31 | |
| Others | 1 | 5 | |
| Total | 294 |
Methodology
As for the methodology and poll details, the CVoter poll reached out to a total of approximately 10154+ people in Kerala, 1066+ people in Puducherry, 11656+ people in Tamil Nadu, 10807+ people in Assam and 19314+ people in West Bengal making it a total of 52997+people. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic poll).
About ABP Network
An innovative media and content creation company, ABP Network is a credible voice in the broadcast & digital sphere, with a multi-language portfolio of news channels reaching 535 million individuals in India. ABP Studios, which comes under the purview of ABP Creations – the content innovation arm of the network – creates, produces, and licenses original, path-breaking content outside of news. ABP Network is a group entity of ABP, which was incorporated almost 100 years ago and continues to reign as a leading Indian Media Conglomerate.
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